NASA’s Planetary Defense Coordination Office, in collaboration with FEMA and the Department of State Office of Space Affairs, recently conducted a simulated exercise to test the agency’s response to a potentially catastrophic asteroid impact. The exercise, which took place earlier this year, aimed to evaluate the effectiveness of NASA’s response to a hypothetical asteroid threat. The scenario presented was a dangerous asteroid with a 72% chance of hitting Earth in about 14 years.
The simulated exercise focused on the challenges of detecting and responding to an asteroid threat. The scenario tested NASA’s ability to quickly identify the asteroid’s size, shape, mass, and composition, as well as the asteroid’s trajectory and the potential impact zone. In reality, detecting an asteroid with these characteristics would be fraught with challenges, including the possibility of observing it from behind the sun or experiencing extended periods of inaccessibility.
One of the key lessons learned from the exercise was the importance of interagency coordination. As Leviticus “L.A.” Lewis, FEMA detailee to NASA’s Planetary Defense Coordination Office, emphasized, “Our mission is helping people before, during, and after disasters. We work across the country every day before disasters happen to help people and communities understand and prepare for possible risks. In the event of a potential asteroid impact, FEMA would be a leading player in interagency coordination.”
The exercise also highlighted the importance of long-term lead times in detecting and responding to asteroid threats. With enough notice, NASA could potentially develop and implement a defense strategy to deflect or destroy the asteroid. As Lindley Johnson, NASA planetary defense officer emeritus, noted, “A large asteroid impact is potentially the only natural disaster humanity has the technology to predict years in advance and take action to prevent.”
Despite the challenges posed by asteroid detection, NASA is committed to being prepared for any potential threat. The agency stresses that currently, there are no known asteroids that threaten Earth, and the further in advance an asteroid is identified, the more time is available to mount a response. NASA has only released a brief summary of the exercise’s findings so far, but a more complete report is expected to follow.
NASA’s simulated exercise served as a valuable test of the agency’s response to a potentially catastrophic asteroid impact. The exercise highlighted the importance of interagency coordination, long-term lead times, and innovative defense strategies. By conducting such exercises, NASA demonstrates its commitment to protecting the Earth from asteroid threats and its ability to adapt to the challenges posed by these potentially devastating events.